By the end of the nineteenth century, societies around the
globe had been brought within a single, rapidly evolving
world network of communication as a result of what we called
in the Big Era Seven essay the Modern Revolution. This emerging
global system linked different regions and peoples economically,
politically, and culturally. Within it, some states
and groups accumulated colossal wealth and power, while others
fell into economic and political decline.
The world network was dominated by the industrialized states
of Europe, which had been weak and marginal powers just a
few centuries before. In the nineteenth century, however,
rapid industrialization gave European powers colossal economic
and military power. By 1900, they ruled much of Africa and
India directly. Other regions, such as China and the Ottoman
empire, and much of Latin America, were falling within Europe’s
sphere of economic and political influence. Still other regions,
including North America, parts of Latin America, Siberia,
and Australasia had been largely settled by immigrants of
European origin. European culture and science, as well as
a characteristically European faith in progress and reason,
also exerted a powerful influence outside Europe. These ideas
were particularly attractive to elite groups who wanted to
modernize their own societies.
Rapid industrialization also increased the wealth and power
of other regions of the world, including North America and
Japan, which were beginning to challenge Europe’s global
domination. Where industrialization had made less headway,
however, integration into the world network often meant the
destruction of traditional lifeways, cultural values, and
governments. These once powerful states, including China,
Persia, and the Ottoman empire, fell into economic decline.
At the same time, peasants and artisans throughout the world
found it harder to compete in international markets against
manufacturers and farmers in industrialized regions, who
enjoyed the advantages of high productivity and government
protection of their interests.
Early in the twentieth century, rapid economic and technological
change, increasing competition among powerful states, and
resistance to European domination worked together to destabilize
the world system. These underlying tensions and weaknesses
led to a series of crises that altered the human condition
in several important ways.
• Rapid economic growth put increasing pressure on
the natural environment.
• The emergence of competing trade blocs undermined
the economic unity of the world system.
• Global wars, using modern weapons backed by the
power of modern industrial economies, devastated the European
heartland, as well as other combat zones, and helped undermine
European wealth and power.
• Countries with rising economies, notably the United
States, Japan, and the Soviet Union, began to challenge Europe’s
economic power.
• Anti-colonial and nationalist movements began to
weaken Europe’s grip on its colonies and spheres of
influence.
• In the sciences and arts, new theories, attitudes,
and insights eroded the confidence of late nineteenth-century
European thinkers. The horrors of global war provoked new
ways of looking at the world and a search for new ideas beyond
Europe. At the same time, new technologies of mass communication
brought to prominence a modern mass culture that was no longer
the preserve of elites.
The world system survived, however, despite these wrenching
changes. In 1950, the industrialized regions of Europe, North
America, the USSR, and Japan, which accounted together for
about 75 per cent of globe’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), still dominated the system. But it was now split into
competing blocs headed by two new superpowers, the US and
the USSR. The confident faith in progress, reason, and enlightened
liberal government that had characterized the European heartland
fifty years earlier was now gone.
Humans and the Environment
New technologies and rapid population growth increased the
impact of human societies on the natural environment, with
consequences that varied greatly from region to region. Population
trends that had started in Big Era Seven continued after
1900. Between 1913 and 1950, the number of humans rose from
1.8 billion to 2.5 billion, despite huge losses caused by
warfare, genocide, disease, and pollution. Rates of growth
were relatively slow in Europe, China, and India, and faster
in other parts of Asia and in Latin America, and Africa.
Food production rose as farmers brought more and more virgin
land into cultivation, built more complex irrigation systems,
and used artificial fertilizers more extensively.
Clearer understanding of how diseases worked led in the
late nineteenth century to vaccinations for smallpox, typhoid,
and other viral diseases. Increased food production, together
with improved medicine and sanitation, explain why world
death rates fell and life expectancies rose from 31 years
to 49 years. This increase of human life span counts as one
of the most fundamental changes of the Modern Revolution.
Yet, as death rates declined, birth rates in much of the
world remained as high as ever. The widening gap between
static birth rates and falling death rates explains why populations
grew faster than ever before.
Rapid population growth drove many types of environmental
changes.
• As the populations of cities grew, so did their
physical areas. Between 1913 and 1950, the percentage of
the world’s population living in towns and cities
rose from about 18 per cent to almost 30 per cent. Levels
of urbanization,
however, varied greatly from region to region. By 1950,
more than 50 per cent of people lived in towns in the most
industrialized
regions, about 40 per cent in Latin America and the USSR,
and less than 20 per cent in the least industrialized regions,
including China, South Asia, and much of Africa.
• Migration, partly from rural areas to cities and
partly from Europe to the Neo-Europes in North America,
southern South America, and Australasia, spurred rapid
urban growth.
Between 1914 and 1949, more than 7 million people migrated
to the United States, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand.
• The rapid growth of cities also reflected a fundamental
change in the relationship between urban and rural areas.
For thousands of years, death rates had typically been
higher in towns than in villages. However, the introduction
of improved
sanitation and better treatments for epidemic diseases
pushed urban death rates below those in the countryside
for the
first time in human history.
Region
1890
1950
USA
35
64
Japan
30
56
China
5
11
Western Europe
35
63
Latin America
5
41
Africa
5
15
World
14
29
Change in Percent of Population Living in Cities
As Percentage of Total Population
Adapted from table in J. R. McNeill, Something New under
the Sun: An Environmental
History of the Twentieth-Century World (New York: Norton,
2000), 283.
As populations grew, towns and cities gobbled up surrounding
countryside, and the expansion of farmlands and pastures
cut ever deeper into forests and grassy steppes. Deforestation
was particularly rapid in tropical regions, as foresters
felled timber to supply local and international demand, and
farmers cleared land for cash crops such as coffee. Land
erosion was another growing problem, particularly where migrant
farmers tilled soils that were more fragile than they understood.
This was the case with the creation of the “dust bowl” in
the United States in the 1930s. Animal species suffered on
land and sea. The total fish catch rose from about 2 million
tons in 1900 to about 15 million tons in 1950. Consequently,
fisheries from the North Sea to the Pacific began to collapse.
The spread of technologies pioneered in Big Era Seven magnified
the individual’s average environmental impact because
individuals consumed more energy and resources and produced
more waste. People used more and more coal, but oil production
rose even faster to generate electricity and to feed the
new internal combustion engines that widely replaced steam
engines. Waste products from the burning of fossil fuels
reduced air quality, particularly in big cities such as London
and Chicago. In the course of the era, millions may have
died from the effects of air pollution.
Between 1913 and 1950, the world’s total GDP almost
doubled, while output per person rose by almost 50 per cent.
Near the end of the era, humans acquired a new source of
energy, nuclear power. This source was so potent that, in
theory, it gave humans the ability to destroy much of the
biosphere within a few hours. For better or worse, human
impact on the environment increased more sharply in this
era than ever before. Indeed, humans became a major force
for change in the biosphere.
Humans and Other Humans
Between 1900 and 1945, the pattern of human interrelations
that existed at the end of the nineteenth century changed
drastically:
• Global economic growth slowed.
• Powerful states fragmented into competing blocs.
• Anti-capitalist states were established in the
former Russian and Chinese empires.
• Anti-colonial movements emerged in Europe’s
colonies.
• Economic, military, and political power began
to shift away from the European heartland towards the US,
Japan,
and the Soviet Union.
Between 1870 and 1913, the global economy had grown at the
unprecedented rate of 2.11 per cent per annum. Between 1913
and 1950, growth slowed to 1.85 per cent, then rose again
to 4.91 per cent from 1950 to 1973. International trade also
declined in Big Era Eight as the global commercial system
splintered. Between 1913 and 1950, the proportion of world
production that was traded internationally actually fell,
so that in 1950 it was less than it had been in 1870.
Part of the problem was that as productivity soared in the
late nineteenth century and producers found it harder to
market surplus goods the major trading nations became increasingly
protectionist, that is, they imposed or raised import duties.
Protectionism encouraged global rivalry for markets and colonies.
In fact, World War I (1914-1918) was fought, in part, for
global market share. Production revived after the war, so
did the pre-war problem of finding markets for surpluses.
Other factors made the competition vicious, especially between
European rivals such as Britain and Germany. The huge costs
of the war, together with the determination of the victors
to make Germany and Austria pay reparations, led to an international
trading and finance system that depended on a complex and
precarious structure of international loans. American bankers
loaned money to Germany to pay off its British and French
creditors, who were themselves indebted to American bankers.
When these bankers began pulling their money back, the global
economic system crashed—industrial output, farm production,
and employment plummeted . The effects of the “Crash
of 1929” were particularly severe in the more industrialized
regions, including Europe, North America, and Japan. But
declining demand in those regions also hurt producers of
rubber, minerals, and other raw materials in Latin America,
Africa, and much of Asia. For a time, it seemed that, as
Marx had predicted, the entire capitalist system was on the
verge of collapse. Most governments reacted by cutting expenditure
and raising import barriers, which further disrupted the
global economic web.
Eventually, many governments realized that they could spend
their way out of the Great Depression. Government spending
stimulated employment by putting cash into the pockets of
wage earners, who in turn bought more consumer goods, raising
production. In the US, the “New Deal,” the economic
policy of President Franklin Roosevelt, pumped millions into
the economy through government programs mostly designed to
build new infrastructure and provide employment. Between
1913 and 1938, governments of industrialized countries took
on economic roles never before seen in history. In France,
Germany, Japan, Britain, and the US between 1913 and 1938,
government expenditure rose as a percentage of total GDP
from about 12 per cent to about 28 per cent. In the USSR
in the 1930s, the government seized control of the entire
economy. The US, the Soviet Union, and Japan all emerged
as major economic and military powers, and by the end of
the era Europe was no longer the dominant center of strong
growth. Comparative growth rates in the table below tell
the story:
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Average Annual Growth Rate Percentages, 1913-1950
Eastern Europe
1.14
Western Europe
1.19
Soviet Union
2.15
Japan
2.44
United States
2.84
Latin America
3.43
The most powerful growth stimulator, however, turned out
to be rearmament for war. By the late 1930s, all the major
economic powers, including Japan and the US as well as European
states, were engaged in massive arms buildups. This fueled
growth, but it also reawakened old rivalries.
The two world wars together were a major cause of change
in the global distribution of power. The wars had many causes,
including competition for markets and colonies and a centuries-old
tradition of military competition among European countries.
In the late nineteenth century, the major industrialized
states used their increasing economic and technological power
to build up stocks of modern weapons such as machine guns
and battleships. They also prepared for war by forging alliances
that committed each country to the defense of its allies.
The dangers of this system became apparent when Archduke
Francis Ferdinand, the heir to the throne of the Austro-Hungarian
empire, was assassinated by a Serbian nationalist in June
1914. Austro-Hungary consequently invaded Serbia, Serbia’s
ally Russia mobilized against Austro-Hungary, and within
weeks the whole of Europe was embroiled in war.
World War I proved more horrifying than anyone could have
imagined and demonstrated the colossal destructive power
available to industrialized states. The conflagration showed
a dark side of the Modern Revolution. Machine guns, long-range
artillery, and mustard gas killed soldiers in the millions.
These weapons worked so well in holding defensive positions
that decisive attacks were almost impossible. On Europe’s
western front the war settled into a grisly, prolonged siege
in which soldiers assaulted enemy trenches only to be mown
down by the thousands.
Soldiers carrying a wounded comrade away
from the front lines, France 1917
Library of Congress Prints and Photographs Division
Reproduction number LC-USZ62-98917
On the home fronts of all the states involved, the huge
power concentrated in modern governments and industrial economies
was harnessed for the fight. Warfare became “total,” as
governments took control of much of the economy in order
to mobilize their populations and resources. Civilians played
as vital a role as soldiers and also accounted for an increasing
number of casualties. The war also transformed the lives
of many women, who had to manage all aspects of domestic
life when men were away and who took over men’s jobs
in munitions factories and other branches of production.
Because the rivalries that caused the war were worldwide,
so was its impact. The Ottoman Turkish empire joined World
War I on the German and Austro-Hungarian side. French, British,
or Japanese forces seized German colonies in the Pacific
and Africa. Troops from French and British colonies in Asia
and Africa, and from former colonies such as Canada, Australia
and New Zealand fought on the British and French side. In
1917, the US entered the war against Germany and its allies.
US supplies, troops, and money, together with the huge economic
and agricultural resources of the British and French empires,
eventually tipped the balance against the central European
powers. On November 11, 1918, Germany signed an armistice.
By then, 15 million soldiers had died and another 20 million
had been injured. Millions of civilians died as well, and
destruction of infrastructure, industries, and farmland was
colossal. The end of the war left the liberal capitalist
system facing many daunting challenges.
The Paris Peace Conference (1919) stripped Germany of its
colonies and saddled it and Austria with the burden of paying
reparations, that is, much of the cost of the war. It also
created the League of Nations, the first fledgling world
government, whose primary mission was to prevent future military
catastrophes. The League had little independent power, however,
and the punitive peace treaty of 1919 ensured that Germany
and Austria would continue to nurse resentments.
In Russia the creation of the world’s first Communist
state posed a challenge to the entire capitalist system,
a challenge that would last until the 1990s. In the late
nineteenth century, the Russian Empire tried hard to industrialize
to keep up with the rest of Europe. However, the strains
of rapid economic change combined with the war, which saw
a German invasion, undermined the autocratic government of
Tsar Nicholas II. In February 1917, he was forced to abdicate
and to leave the country in the hands of a weak “provisional
government.” Into this political vacuum stepped the
Bolshevik Party, led by Vladimir Lenin (1870-24). As a Marxist,
Lenin had no use for nineteenth century-style liberalism,
and he was convinced that the war signaled the collapse of
both capitalism and imperialism. He believed that Russia
would pioneer a new and better type of society, one that
would do away with the political and economic inequalities
of the capitalist world order.
Vladimir Lenin
depicted in a mosaic on a wall of a station on
a Moscow subway train line. This network was constructed
in the 1930s under the rule of Josef Stalin.
Photo by R. Dunn
The Bolsheviks unilaterally pulled Russia out of the war,
won a civil struggle against internal enemies, and expelled
most of the country’s capitalists. They were left,
however, ruling a country, now the Union of Soviet Socialist
Republics, that was poorer and less industrialized than it
had been ten years earlier. Before they could realize Communism,
they argued, they would have to rebuild Russia’s economy.
In 1929, Stalin, Lenin’s successor, launched a radical,
state-led industrialization drive. He used planning techniques
pioneered by wartime governments and much of the technology
invented in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries,
from railways to radios. He ruthlessly seized Russian peasant
lands, thereby eliminating the last remaining bastions of
capitalism.
The strains and costs of compulsory industrialization were
great, including a massive famine, creation of forced labor
camps, and political purges that by the 1930s cost the lives
of several million people. Even so, Stalin’s brutal
methods produced a powerful industrial economy. This success
inspired some political leaders and revolutionaries in other
lands, including western European countries and their colonies,
to take up the Communist vision of the future. Though communist
movements made little headway in most places, the Communist
leader, Mao Zedong, achieved victory in China. On October
1, 1949, he announced the formation of the “People’s
Republic of China.” This meant that about one third
of all humans lived under Communist governments.
In Germany, Adolph Hitler’s ideology of ‘National
Socialism’ (Nazism) offered a second authoritarian
alternative to liberal democracy. Nazism built on the sense
of despair that World War I, the Depression, and the punitive
war reparations caused among Germans. Nazism offered an extreme
version of the competitive nationalist ideologies that had
led to the war. Hitler became an advocate of Fascism, an
ideology that saw politics in terms of racial conflict between
different nations, championed authoritarianism, and despised
liberal values. The Nazi party flourished, and in 1933 Hitler
became Germany’s leader. Exploiting international disunity
and the weakness of the League of Nations (which the US never
joined), Germany threw off the Versailles treaty’s
penalties and restrictions and began to rearm. As in other
countries, huge government expenditure for weapons was just
the stimulus needed to revive the German economy. This in
turn boosted Hitler’s popularity. Benito Mussolini
(1883-1945), Hitler’s fascist ally in Italy, embarked
on a similar program of nationalist rearmament. Fascism found
other imitators as well, for example, in Spain, Brazil, and
Lebanon.
In colonized regions of the world, nationalist leaders began
to challenge European control, many inspired by the liberal
democratic traditions of Europe and the US, some inspired
by Communism and Fascism. World War I destroyed the empires
of Germany, Austria, and Ottoman Turkey. Germany’s
colonies and Ottoman territory in the Middle East were taken
over by France and Britain as “mandates” or “trusteeships” theoretically
under the League of Nations. Consequently, the British and
French empires not only survived the war but became even
bigger. However, Turkey, the heart of former the Ottoman
empire, emerged from the war as an independent state under
the leadership of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.
Mustafa Kemal Ataturk (1881-1938), the Turkish military
officer
who led Turkey to independence in 1921.
Library of Congress Prints and Photographs Division Reproduction
Number LC-USZ61-620
Nevertheless, nationalist movements for reform and independence
began to come together in the colonies. In India, the
Indian National Congress, first established in 1885, became
a powerful supporter of independence. In Mohandas Gandhi
(1869-1948) it found an inspirational and creative leader.
His non-violent protests against British rule played a
crucial role in achieving independence in 1947. In parts
of Africa, too, new educated leaders, including Kwame Nkrumah,
Leopold Senghor, and Julius Nyerere, emerged, and in the
aftermath of World War II they began to demand total freedom.
In China and Vietnam the anti-imperial rhetoric of Soviet
Communism provided the inspiration for the nationalist
leaders Mao Zedong and Ho Chi Minh. In all these regions,
intellectuals, artists, and politicians wrestled with the
fundamental fact that the Modern Revolution had arrived
in the form of European colonialism, disadvantageous trade
relations, and European ideas of progress. These women
and men were determined to advance modern technology, science,
and political organization but equally set on finding
ways to do it that were true to their own national traditions
and aspirations.
The major liberal democracies were by no means immune to
new challenges. Governments were pressed to take their own
liberal rhetoric more seriously by extending the vote to
larger sections of the population and to women as well as
men. New Zealand was the first country to grant the vote
to women (in 1893). The US and most European countries followed
only after World War I. Socialist parties also challenged
governments, particularly during the Great Depression, to
tackle the inequalities that were still widespread in democratic
and wealthy nations.
All the challenges of the 1920s and 1930s may have led inevitably
to a new round of conflict. In some sense, World War II was
a continuation of the first war. Japan, seeking to create
its own empire in East Asia, invaded Chinese Manchuria in
1931, and mainland China in 1937. Fascist Italy invaded Ethiopia
in 1935. In Europe, Nazi racist belligerence and aggression
against its neighbors, first Austria and Czechoslovakia,
then Poland, led Germany in 1939 into war with France and
Britain.
The conflict soon became global. Germany attacked the Soviet
Union in 1941, and Japan, Hitler’s ally, attacked the
US at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, on December 7, 1941. World War
II was fought in Europe, the Soviet Union, North Africa,
West Africa, East Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Atlantic
and Pacific Oceans. Eventually, the sheer weight of resources
and human numbers ranged against the Fascist alliance made
the difference. Britain and France fought with the support
of both soldiers and civilians from colonies and former colonies
throughout the world; the US concentrated its wealth, industry,
and citizenry on the war effort; and the Soviet Union mobilized
huge human and material resources with brutal efficiency.
The Allied Powers invaded Germany from both east and west
in 1945, and Hitler died in his Berlin bunker. Japan surrendered
after the US dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki
in August. The Hiroshima attack killed perhaps 80,000 people,
and it ended the war with Japan.
In human terms, World War II was even more costly than the
first conflict. Perhaps 60 million people died, or 3 per
cent of the world’s population. This time, most of
the casualties were civilians. Weapons such as bombers and
rockets brought warfare into the centers of cities. Mobilization
for war was even more “total” than in the first
war, particularly in Germany and the Soviet Union. The horror
of the war found its most potent symbol in the Nazis’ systematic
murder of almost 6 million Jews.
The rail line that brought prisoners to the Nazi
concentration camp at Terezine
in the northern part of Czechoslovakia,
today the Czech Republic.
Photo by R. Dunn
Humans and Ideas
Despite
crisis after crisis, Big Era Eight brought new creativity
to science, the arts, popular culture, and
political and social thought. Communism, Fascism,
and new liberation movements opposed to European imperialism severely challenged
the liberal ideologies of Europe and the Atlantic. Even for many citizens
of European democracies, the horrors of war seemed to discredit the
liberal ideology that had seemed so full of promise in the late nineteenth
century. The historian Oswald Spengler, for example, captured this mood
in a work called The Decline of the West, which he first published in
1918. The book, which became a bestseller, argued that all civilizations
rise and fall and that the World War I marked the beginning of Europe’s
decline. To many, liberalism seemed only a veneer that protected exploitative
and incompetent governments and allowed social and
economic inequities in the world to continue. On the other hand, the US,
Britain, and several other European countries mobilized millions of
citizens for war without compromising their democratic institutions
too much. In fact, these nations broadened
the base of popular participation in civic life, notably to include women.
The challenges to nineteenth-century traditions extended to science and the
arts. Einstein’s theory of relativity and the new Quantum theory were
developed during and just after World War I. They both undermined Isaac Newton’s
model of a fixed and predictable universe, which scientists of the nineteenth
century had taken for granted. In psychology, Sigmund Freud showed the power
of irrational forces that lurked in the human sub-conscious. In the fine arts,
a mood of anti-rationalism and pessimism provoked new definitions of art. More
extensive cross-cultural exchanges of artistic ideas challenged established
artistic traditions in most parts of the world. For example, West African wood
sculpture inspired the Spanish painter Pablo Picasso (1881-1973), and Mongolian
artists incorporated traditional motifs into contemporary art forms such as
photography. Entirely new art forms, such as motion pictures, radio drama,
and jazz, blurred the lines between elite culture and popular culture.
Perhaps for the first time in history, popular culture, instead of being just
the cultural heritage of a particular region, began to reach around the globe.
Soviet leaders deliberately used cinema to spread their socialist message to
rural village. In doing so, however, they also ensured that Soviet movie-goers
would learn about Hollywood and American values. Radios gave leaders access
to vast audiences, and gifted speakers such as Roosevelt, Hitler, and Churchill
used the new medium to mobilize whole nations for war. The popular press helped
spread new political messages, including Fascism and Communism, while giving
people in democratic societies broader and quicker access to information about
the world. Nationalist leaders in Africa, the Middle East, and Asia became
increasingly skilled at using newspapers and radio to build mass support. The
new media also helped popularize sports such as football and baseball. Refined
cultural tastes and values, once the preserve of elite groups, spread increasingly
among the working masses.
The world of 1950 was very different from the world of 1900. It was a world
disillusioned with nineteenth-century hopes for progress, no longer politically
and economically dominated by Western Europe, more populous, more urbanized,
and more productive. The world of 1950, however, was just as divided and conflict-ridden,
and it bristled with dangerous weapons unimaginable in 1900. In the aftermath
of World War II, it was not at all certain that humans could find a way of
living with the terrifying technological powers unleashed by the industrial
revolution. Could peace be preserved better in the second half of the century?
Could the machinery of economic growth reduce the global inequalities that
had helped fuel the conflicts of 1900-1950? Or was the world doomed to ever
more destructive conflicts as power groups fought over the wealth that the
technology and science of the Modern Revolution had generated?